You read that right, my friends! Even with a fantasy electorate, Obama is still losing in a new poll.
According to a Washington Post-ABC Poll released on Monday, Governor Mitt Romney is leading President Obama by 1%. The poll found Governor Romney receiving 47% of the vote with the Likely Voters they polled and President Obama receiving 46%. While this is reason enough to be cheerful, then one should look at the polling sample. Are you ready?
Democrat: 31% Republican: 22% Independent: 39%
Now let's remind you of reality, shall we? According to Gallup's most recent poll of party affiliation (not registration), 31% of Americans consider themselves Democrats (so the Democrat sample is fine) but 29% consider themselves Republicans and 38% identified as Independents (so the Independent sample is just fine). So why THIS poll is claiming is that 9% of Americans identify with a third party? Why are Republicans undersampled? Even with a ridiculous undersampling of Republicans, once again, Obama is losing! While we're at it, let's talk about the breakdowns of ideology (as opposed to party). According to THIS poll their
ideological sample was:
Moderate: 41% Conservative: 34% Liberal: 21% So let's once again look at the Gallup poll of personal ideology (since once again Gallup is the only game in town
to poll this topic). Conservative: 40% Moderate: 35% Liberal: 21%
So this poll undersampled conservatives by 6% and similarly oversampled moderates by 6%! So now the Drive- By Media, instead of oversampling Democrats, is now undersampling Republicans and conservatives! You want to know how ridiculous the Washington Post-ABC numbers are? The lowest conservative rating in recent memory was 36%...in 1992. The last time self-described moderates hit 40% was 1996. (Source: Gallup) Either way it's just a new little trick from the Drive-By Media. Instead of living in an imaginary world where there are way more Democrats than Republicans, now they're imagining that Republicans and conservatives either don't exist or won't vote (which is even sillier, since Republicans and conservatives are the most reliable voters groups!)
Friends, this is yet another telegraph of how worried the Drive-By Media is and how worried the Democrat Party is...and that those of us who are pointing out that there won't be an 11% Democrat turnout advantage, or an 8% Democrat turnout advantage, or a 5% Democrat turnout advantage...or likely a Democrat turnout advantage AT ALL in 2012. So now, they're trying a new tactic. They'll undersample Republicans. They'll pretend the electorate is in terms of ideology looks like it did TWENTY YEARS AGO.
The bottom line is this: The Democrat party is in deep, deep dog doo in 2012, both in terms of the White House and in terms of Congress. The Drive-By Media's poll cooking proves it. This is our year, friends. I'll once again quote the same video I used yesterday: