Friday, May 13, 2011

Same Cooked AP Poll - Claims Americans More Upbeat about Economy

Thursday, the Associated Press released another story based on the same cooked poll that claimed Obama had a 60% approval rating.  This time they're claiming that over 43% of Americans believe the country is now on the right track. (1) Guess what, folks...IT'S THE SAME BAD POLL!  The same poll that so many sources showed to be bogus, including this blog, also claims that 43% of Americans now see the country is now on the right track.

Let's review the breakdown one more time of this poll.  Once again, thanks to Hot Air for doing great research on this program:

The Dem/Rep/Ind breakdown in this poll is 46/29/4, as AP assigned most of the leaners to the parties. That is a 17-point gap, more than twice what was seen in the 2008 actual popular vote that elected Obama. It only gets worse when independents are assigned properly. When taking out the leaners, the split becomes — I’m not kidding — 35/18/27. Oh, and another 20% “don’t know.” (3)

Yep.  So once again, if you ask a group that's ridiculously skewed Democrat, then skewed Independent, then finally ask an occasional Republican, you hear that 43% of people think the country is on the right track.  Not to mention, once again, this is "adults," half of whom aren't registered to vote and thus have no say over the political direction of the country.   So let's attempt to give a comparison to other polls.

Unfortunately, neither of the two most reliable polls, Gallup and Rasmussen, have up-to-date polls on this subject.  Gallup doesn't regularly poll the direction of the country.  Rasmussen's last sample is two weeks old.  So I'm going to have to use other polls.  For the purpose of this excercise, I'll use the Real Clear Politics average.

For those of you not familiar with RCP, they do not conduct their own polls. Rather, they attempt to gain a best possible consensus by averaging all available polls.  In their most recent average, RCP shows that 32.8% of Americans think the country is on the right track, while 59.2% says the country is on the wrong track. (4)  Mind you, that number INCLUDES the bad AP poll in it's average! 

The next highest number is Reuters/Ipsos, which has the right track number at 38% and the wrong track at 56% (5).  That's a full 5% difference between the most generous poll over AP's!  So what does the RCP average become when you eliminate that bad AP poll?  You get 30% right track, 60% wrong track!  AP wants you to believe that the a full 13% of people believe that the country is on the right track over the average of the other five polls in the RCP average.

It's actually sad that AP would have the stones to publish this story using a poll that was ripped to shreds from all levels of the new media yesterday, from Rush Limbaugh, to solid internet news sources like Hot Air, all the way down to lowly bloggers like me and everyone in between. This tells us, if nothing else, how stupid the Lamestream Media thinks we are.  If this was 1995, they might get away with it.  It's 2011, though, and there is a huge new media at all levels.  They aren't getting away with this drivel.

As I said yesterday, this is proof how concerned the Left is about Obama's chances.  They know what we suspect, he's in deep political doo-doo.  Obama is in trouble.  Vote for a real Conservative in the primaries, don't believe we need a "moderate."  It's our time.  Let's go!

(1) AP-GfK poll: Americans more upbeat about economy

(2) THE AP-GfK POLL May, 2011 - Pg. 41

(3) And the award for the most ridiculous poll sampling goes to …

(4) Real Clear Politics: Direction of the Country

(5) Reuters/Ipsos: Direction of the Country


  1. I was watching the news yesterday about the gas prices right now. The two big things that I noticed that they gave the sweet spot to the Democrat criticizing the GOP for thinking that drilling at home will change anything, and then ended (as in the last sentence of the entire story) with "The one thing that is absolutely clear is how little the Congress can really do about gas prices".

    There does seem to be this true paranoia about Obama's chances in the next year, and they are trying their hardest to minimize all of his failures.

  2. They were going to do that anyway (minimize his failures) but I think their internal polling tells them Obama is in serious trouble so they're really putting on the full court press.


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